
The October Hike Trade Just Died: 70% to 14% in Four Days, and Bitcoin Still Couldn't Hold $87,000
$87,152 Intraday. $84,501 at the Close. Just 29,000 jobs helped finish a four-day collapse in October hike odds from 70% to roughly 13–14%. Bitcoin reached $87,152 on October 2, then closed at $84,501. The policy obstacle shrank. The rally vanished. Why? September’s ETF buying had nearly stopped, leverage had built before payrolls, and long-term Treasury yields remained punishingly high. A softer Fed outlook could remove a threat without supplying the next buyer. ...